How AI could predict whether early signs of dementia will develop into Alzheimer’s

Category: (Self-Study) Health

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Researchers at the University of Cambridge have used Artificial Intelligence to develop a tool capable of predicting whether people with early signs of dementia could develop Alzheimer’s.

It’s estimated someone in the world develops Alzheimer’s every 3 seconds, with the number of people with the disease set to triple over the next 50 years.

The AI algorithm researchers have developed here is designed to process data from MRI scans and responses to check-up questionnaires called ‘cognitive tests’ using complex data processing technologies. It’s hoped this new tool could mean earlier interventions for care and reduce the need for costly and invasive diagnostic tests.

Zoe Kourtzi, Professor of Experimental Psychology at the University of Cambridge, says: “For a long time, for about 30 years, we did not have any disease-modifying treatments. Now things have changed, and we see new treatments coming into the market. And for now, we know we have the potential to identify patients early and identify the right patients for these treatments.”

Kourtzi continues, “So, our work has really been focusing on early predictions, early diagnosis when we have the first symptoms, or even before symptoms, can we identify individuals that may develop dementia in the future.”

Dementia poses a significant global healthcare challenge. The University of Cambridge predicts the condition affects over 55 million people worldwide with an estimated annual cost of $820 billion. The number of people with the disease is expected to almost triple over the next 50 years.

Alzheimer’s accounts for around 60-80% of dementia cases. It is for this reason that early detection is crucial, as treatments initiated at the earlier stages of Alzheimer’s are likely to be the most effective.

Researchers say AI technology will not replace clinicians in the triaging and treatment process, but facilitate diagnosis as a tool for identifying and intervening at the earliest possible stage.

It is hoped that this tool may soon be used to help in real-life healthcare settings here in the UK, and around the world in the effort to combat a disease that is becoming worryingly more common.

This article was provided by The Associated Press.

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[Researchers at the Department of Psychology at the University of Cambridge in a research computer lab]

[Researcher analyzing an MRI scan]

[Zoe Kourtzi, Professor of Experimental Psychology at University of Cambridge working at desk]

Zoe Kourtzi (interview): “For a long time, for about 30 years, we did not have any disease modifying treatments. Now things have changed, and we see new treatments coming into the market, and for now we know we have the potential to identify patients early and identify the right patients for these treatments. So, our work has really been focussing on early predictions, early diagnosis when we have the first symptoms, or even before symptoms, can we identify individuals that may develop dementia in the future.”

[Screen showing full body MRI]

[Radiologist]

[Screen showing multi-organ MRI scan in process]

[Unidentified patient in scanner]

[Researcher Liz Yuanxi Lee conducting a cognitive test on Delshad Vaghari, asking questions and taking notes of Delshad’s response]

Liz Yuanxi Lee (interview): “The advantage of AI is they can detect details or relations between parameters or features that human beings cannot easily learn. For example, the images we’ll look at so there might be some tiny millimetre resolution changes we cannot see with our naked eyes.”

[Liz Yuanxi Lee]

[Liz Yuanxi Lee explaining using her computer screen MRI scans of four patients and their cognitive test results, and how AI algorithms can predict whether the patients could later have Alzheimer’s]

[Two MRI scans which the researchers’ AI algorithm compares against each other. The scan on the left-hand side shows a patient who is less likely to develop Alzheimer’s compared to the patient on the right-hand side who is]

[Delshad Vaghari, research associate at University of Cambridge, analyzing data and algorithms]

Delshad Vaghari (interview): “AI can do different things, but in this particular project we used AI for classification. When usually we have two groups or more than two groups. For example, controls and patients, apples and oranges, we can train models to learn what is an apple and what is an orange, who is a patient and who is a control healthy aging. So, the model can learn these two. We call these type of model supervised because we tell them what is what.”

[Zoe Kourtzi, Professor of Experimental Psychology at University of Cambridge working at desk]

Zoe Kourtzi (interview): “It learns to identify patterns in the data and in this case associated with specific patient diagnoses so it will know in the end whether a specific pattern that appears in the brain scans together with the cognitive scores means that a patient will be progressing or a patient will remain stable and then can make predictions about new patients that it hasn’t seen their data before. These predictions can be reliable because it has seen all these other data.”

[MRI brain scans on computer screen]

Zoe Kourtzi (interview): “I truly believe that having translated all of these really smart maths and algorithms into the space of neuroscience and understanding the brain and being able to validate the predictions and the models that these tools can make into the clinical practice is really truly something fantastic that I didn’t do by myself, but I think really that’s where science can make a big difference for social good.”

[Exteriors of the Department of Psychology at Downing College, University of Cambridge]

This script was provided by The Associated Press.